FRAG TAP Reloaded 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
LAG#91 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
makeSHIFTloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoLAG pick
29%50%
LAG · 3 mapsedge makeSHIFT +21%makeSHIFT · 0 maps
AncientmakeSHIFT pick
33%50%
LAG · 2 mapsedge makeSHIFT +17%makeSHIFT · 0 maps
NukemakeSHIFT ban
67%50%
LAG · 2 mapsedge LAG +17%makeSHIFT · 0 maps
MirageLAG ban
60%50%
LAG · 1 mapedge LAG +10%makeSHIFT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLAG remove Mirage
2. BanmakeSHIFT remove Nuke
3. PickLAG take Inferno
4. PickmakeSHIFT take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
LAG 57%makeSHIFT 43%
The model gave 57% on LAG — the map was taken by LAG.
Infernoprediction missed13:6
LAG 31%makeSHIFT 69%
The model gave 69% on makeSHIFT — the map was taken by LAG.
Model check result
Model favoriteLAG · 68%
Series resultLAG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2