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Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Last Bullet#210 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Kaleido#154 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Last Bullet pick
55%33%
Last Bullet · 7 mapsedge Last Bullet +22%Kaleido · 2 maps
AncientKaleido ban
57%50%
Last Bullet · 3 mapsedge Last Bullet +7%Kaleido · 0 maps
MirageKaleido pick
67%60%
Last Bullet · 2 mapsedge Last Bullet +7%Kaleido · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Last Bullet · 1 mapnearly even +0%Kaleido · 1 map
InfernoLast Bullet ban
50%33%
Last Bullet · 0 mapsedge Last Bullet +17%Kaleido · 2 maps
NukeKaleido ban
50%50%
Last Bullet · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Kaleido · 0 maps
OverpassLast Bullet ban
60%60%
Last Bullet · 1 mapnearly even +0%Kaleido · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLast Bullet remove Overpass
2. BanKaleido remove Nuke
3. PickLast Bullet take Dust2
4. PickKaleido take Mirage
5. BanKaleido remove Ancient
6. BanLast Bullet remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:13
Last Bullet 73%Kaleido 27%
The model gave 73% on Last Bullet — the map was taken by Last Bullet.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
Last Bullet 54%Kaleido 46%
The model gave 54% on Last Bullet — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
Last Bullet 57%Kaleido 43%
The model gave 57% on Last Bullet — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Model check result
Model favoriteLast Bullet · 55%
Series resultKaleido 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3