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CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lavked#140 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
51%55%
Lavked · 33 mapsnearly even -4%Black Phoenix · 7 maps
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
41%71%
Lavked · 18 mapsedge Black Phoenix +30%Black Phoenix · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
53%38%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +15%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
53%33%
Lavked · 13 mapsedge Lavked +20%Black Phoenix · 2 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
57%50%
Lavked · 10 mapsedge Lavked +7%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
InfernoLavked ban
20%63%
Lavked · 6 mapsedge Black Phoenix +43%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +10%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
6. BanLavked remove Cache
DeciderNuke (53% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Lavked 20%Black Phoenix 80%
The model gave 80% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Lavked 72%Black Phoenix 28%
The model gave 72% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction correct13:16
Lavked 47%Black Phoenix 53%
The model gave 53% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 61%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3