Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 1:2
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
41%55%
Lavked · 23 mapsedge EAC +14%EAC · 18 maps
AncientEAC pick
38%55%
Lavked · 12 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 16 maps
NukeLavked ban
41%46%
Lavked · 13 mapsedge EAC +5%EAC · 9 maps
Anubispossible decider
62%53%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Lavked +9%EAC · 11 maps
Dust2EAC ban
53%40%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +13%EAC · 1 map
InfernoEAC ban
38%25%
Lavked · 4 mapsedge Lavked +13%EAC · 8 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%62%
Lavked · 1 mapedge EAC +22%EAC · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickEAC take Ancient
5. BanEAC remove Inferno
6. BanLavked remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (62% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed16:14
Lavked 42%EAC 58%
The model gave 58% on EAC — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
Lavked 39%EAC 61%
The model gave 61% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
Lavked 33%EAC 67%
The model gave 67% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 73%
Series resultEAC 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3