CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU#116 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
39%60%
Lavked · 19 mapsedge HAVU +21%HAVU · 6 maps
NukeHAVU pick
50%73%
Lavked · 12 mapsedge HAVU +23%HAVU · 11 maps
Dust2HAVU ban
53%38%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +15%HAVU · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
31%50%
Lavked · 12 mapsedge HAVU +19%HAVU · 4 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
60%40%
Lavked · 6 mapsedge Lavked +20%HAVU · 1 map
InfernoLavked ban
38%57%
Lavked · 4 mapsedge HAVU +19%HAVU · 3 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%33%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +7%HAVU · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Dust2
6. BanLavked remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (31% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:12
Lavked 68%HAVU 32%
The model gave 68% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
Lavked 24%HAVU 76%
The model gave 76% on HAVU — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 60%
Series resultLavked 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2