CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 Finals · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Omega#138 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lavked pick
57%62%
Lavked · 31 mapedge Omega +5%Omega · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
47%64%
Lavked · 26 mapsedge Omega +17%Omega · 7 maps
AncientOmega ban
46%30%
Lavked · 22 mapsedge Lavked +16%Omega · 6 maps
NukeLavked ban
35%57%
Lavked · 22 mapsedge Omega +22%Omega · 3 maps
AnubisOmega ban
59%50%
Lavked · 13 mapsedge Lavked +9%Omega · 0 maps
InfernoOmega pick
38%63%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Omega +25%Omega · 4 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%40%
Lavked · 1 mapnearly even +0%Omega · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanOmega remove Anubis
3. PickLavked take Dust2
4. PickOmega take Inferno
5. BanOmega remove Ancient
6. BanLavked remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (47% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Lavked 50%Omega 50%
The model gave 50% on Lavked — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 62%
Series resultOmega 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1