Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 2:1series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientex-1win ban
57%50%
Lazer Cats · 10 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%ex-1win · 0 maps
Dust2ex-1win pick
27%60%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge ex-1win +33%ex-1win · 1 map
InfernoLazer Cats pick
60%40%
Lazer Cats · 6 mapsedge Lazer Cats +20%ex-1win · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
44%50%
Lazer Cats · 5 mapsedge ex-1win +6%ex-1win · 0 maps
AnubisLazer Cats ban
43%50%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge ex-1win +7%ex-1win · 0 maps
Defaultex-1win ban
67%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +17%ex-1win · 0 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
67%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +17%ex-1win · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
2. Banex-1win remove Ancient
3. PickLazer Cats take Inferno
4. Pickex-1win take Dust2
5. Banex-1win remove Default
6. BanLazer Cats remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (44% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct14:16
Lazer Cats 18%ex-1win 82%
The model gave 82% on ex-1win — the map was taken by ex-1win.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Lazer Cats 72%ex-1win 28%
The model gave 72% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
Lazer Cats 57%ex-1win 43%
The model gave 57% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-1win · 70%
Series resultLazer Cats 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3