FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 13:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 13:2
FFlameHardloss 2:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
60%50%
Lazer Cats · 6 mapsedge Lazer Cats +10%FlameHard · 0 maps
InfernoFlameHard ban
63%50%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge Lazer Cats +13%FlameHard · 0 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
43%50%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge FlameHard +7%FlameHard · 0 maps
DefaultFlameHard ban
67%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +17%FlameHard · 0 maps
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
33%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge FlameHard +17%FlameHard · 0 maps
MirageLazer Cats ban
50%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsnearly even +0%FlameHard · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
2. BanFlameHard remove Default
3. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
4. BanFlameHard remove Inferno
5. BanLazer Cats remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:2
Lazer Cats 60%FlameHard 40%
The model gave 60% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteLazer Cats · 52%
Series resultLazer Cats 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1