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Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
25%72%
Lazer Cats · 8 mapsedge GenOne +47%GenOne · 49 maps
AncientLazer Cats pick
60%47%
Lazer Cats · 11 mapsedge Lazer Cats +13%GenOne · 28 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
67%57%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +10%GenOne · 26 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%53%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge Lazer Cats +11%GenOne · 15 maps
AnubisGenOne pick
43%60%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge GenOne +17%GenOne · 11 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
50%39%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsedge Lazer Cats +11%GenOne · 14 maps
MirageGenOne ban
44%50%
Lazer Cats · 5 mapsedge GenOne +6%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
4. PickGenOne take Anubis
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (64% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct16:12
Lazer Cats 66%GenOne 34%
The model gave 66% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Dust2prediction correct13:16
Lazer Cats 10%GenOne 90%
The model gave 90% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
Lazer Cats 60%GenOne 40%
The model gave 60% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 76%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3