Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 1:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
27%63%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +36%Inner Circle Academy · 15 maps
AncientLazer Cats pick
58%54%
Lazer Cats · 8 mapsnearly even +4%Inner Circle Academy · 9 maps
MirageLazer Cats ban
38%60%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +22%Inner Circle Academy · 6 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
60%42%
Lazer Cats · 1 mapedge Lazer Cats +18%Inner Circle Academy · 8 maps
Anubispossible decider
43%67%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +24%Inner Circle Academy · 5 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
50%40%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge Lazer Cats +10%Inner Circle Academy · 1 map
CacheInner Circle Academy ban
50%50%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Inner Circle Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
2. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
3. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
4. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
5. BanInner Circle Academy remove Cache
6. BanLazer Cats remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (43% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Lazer Cats 50%Inner Circle Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 64%
Series resultLazer Cats 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1