Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLazer Cats pick
57%56%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsnearly even +1%Just Players · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
29%33%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsnearly even -4%Just Players · 5 maps
MirageJust Players pick
60%50%
Lazer Cats · 1 mapedge Lazer Cats +10%Just Players · 6 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
50%50%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Just Players · 6 maps
OverpassLazer Cats ban
50%63%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsedge Just Players +13%Just Players · 4 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
57%50%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%Just Players · 0 maps
AnubisJust Players ban
50%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Just Players · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Overpass
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Anubis
6. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (29% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Lazer Cats 55%Just Players 45%
The model gave 55% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Dust2prediction correct12:16
Lazer Cats 42%Just Players 58%
The model gave 58% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Lazer Cats 60%Just Players 40%
The model gave 60% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteLazer Cats · 64%
Series resultJust Players 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3