FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 28:25series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 28:25
SAW#61 in the world · loss 25:28The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSAW ban
64%56%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge Lazer Cats +8%SAW · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
63%75%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge SAW +12%SAW · 8 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
43%70%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge SAW +27%SAW · 6 maps
AnubisSAW ban
67%56%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +11%SAW · 5 maps
CacheLazer Cats ban
50%70%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsedge SAW +20%SAW · 6 maps
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
33%43%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge SAW +10%SAW · 3 maps
MirageSAW ban
50%60%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge SAW +10%SAW · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Cache
2. BanSAW remove Mirage
3. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
4. BanSAW remove Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
6. BanSAW remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (63% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct28:25
Lazer Cats 62%SAW 38%
The model gave 62% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW · 77%
Series resultLazer Cats 28:25
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1