FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 13:7series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 13:7
SINQU#217 in the world · loss 7:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSINQU ban
64%29%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge Lazer Cats +35%SINQU · 3 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
43%60%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge SINQU +17%SINQU · 6 maps
CacheLazer Cats ban
50%30%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsedge Lazer Cats +20%SINQU · 6 maps
InfernoSINQU ban
63%50%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge Lazer Cats +13%SINQU · 2 maps
AnubisSINQU ban
71%33%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsedge Lazer Cats +38%SINQU · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%60%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%SINQU · 1 map
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
33%40%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge SINQU +7%SINQU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Cache
2. BanSINQU remove Inferno
3. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
4. BanSINQU remove Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
6. BanSINQU remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Lazer Cats 81%SINQU 19%
The model gave 81% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteLazer Cats · 50%
Series resultLazer Cats 13:7
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1