BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#6 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Falcons#5 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Falcons pick
62%67%
Legacy · 9 mapsedge Falcons +5%Falcons · 11 maps
InfernoLegacy pick
70%60%
Legacy · 6 mapsedge Legacy +10%Falcons · 6 maps
AncientLegacy ban
40%50%
Legacy · 6 mapsedge Falcons +10%Falcons · 4 maps
MirageFalcons ban
57%44%
Legacy · 3 mapsedge Legacy +13%Falcons · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%50%
Legacy · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons · 2 maps
AnubisLegacy ban
50%67%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge Falcons +17%Falcons · 5 maps
CacheFalcons ban
50%50%
Legacy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Anubis
2. BanFalcons remove Cache
3. PickLegacy take Inferno
4. PickFalcons take Dust2
5. BanFalcons remove Mirage
6. BanLegacy remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
Legacy 65%Falcons 35%
The model gave 65% on Legacy — the map was taken by Falcons.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
Legacy 37%Falcons 63%
The model gave 63% on Falcons — the map was taken by Legacy.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Legacy 44%Falcons 56%
The model gave 56% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 66%
Series resultFalcons 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3