IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#7 in the world · win 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TYLOO#33 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTYLOO ban
36%40%
Legacy · 7 mapsnearly even -4%TYLOO · 11 maps
InfernoTYLOO pick
67%69%
Legacy · 5 mapsnearly even -2%TYLOO · 12 maps
MirageLegacy pick
80%71%
Legacy · 6 mapsedge Legacy +9%TYLOO · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%58%
Legacy · 6 mapsedge TYLOO +8%TYLOO · 8 maps
OverpassLegacy ban
60%50%
Legacy · 1 mapedge Legacy +10%TYLOO · 8 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
73%50%
Legacy · 7 mapsedge Legacy +23%TYLOO · 0 maps
AnubisLegacy ban
60%67%
Legacy · 1 mapedge TYLOO +7%TYLOO · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Anubis
2. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
3. PickLegacy take Mirage
4. PickTYLOO take Inferno
5. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
6. BanLegacy remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (50% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Legacy 64%TYLOO 36%
The model gave 64% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
Legacy 45%TYLOO 55%
The model gave 55% on TYLOO — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteLegacy · 78%
Series resultLegacy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2