CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BAKS#112 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BAKS ban
43%41%
Leo · 24 mapsnearly even +2%BAKS · 13 maps
NukeLeo pick
84%43%
Leo · 21 mapedge Leo +41%BAKS · 10 maps
CacheBAKS pick
47%73%
Leo · 11 mapsedge BAKS +26%BAKS · 18 maps
Ancientpossible decider
45%70%
Leo · 18 mapsedge BAKS +25%BAKS · 6 maps
MirageLeo ban
36%60%
Leo · 10 mapsedge BAKS +24%BAKS · 6 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
38%50%
Leo · 9 mapsedge BAKS +12%BAKS · 0 maps
InfernoLeo ban
50%33%
Leo · 0 mapsedge Leo +17%BAKS · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. BanBAKS remove Anubis
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. PickBAKS take Cache
5. BanBAKS remove Dust2
6. BanLeo remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (45% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
Leo 23%BAKS 77%
The model gave 77% on BAKS — the map was taken by Leo.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Leo 89%BAKS 11%
The model gave 89% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 57%
Series resultLeo 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2