CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
42%59%
Leo · 22 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 35 maps
NukeLeo pick
86%48%
Leo · 17 mapsedge Leo +38%ex-RUSTEC · 27 maps
AnubisLeo ban
38%67%
Leo · 9 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +29%ex-RUSTEC · 23 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
38%45%
Leo · 9 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
Cachepossible decider
42%47%
Leo · 8 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
40%50%
Leo · 16 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +10%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
InfernoLeo ban
50%47%
Leo · 0 mapsnearly even +3%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
6. BanLeo remove Anubis
DeciderCache (42% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
Leo 88%ex-RUSTEC 12%
The model gave 88% on Leo — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
Leo 31%ex-RUSTEC 69%
The model gave 69% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 70%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2