CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
57%64%
Leo · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
AnubisLeo pick
50%33%
Leo · 4 mapsedge Leo +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
InfernoLeo ban
50%45%
Leo · 0 mapsedge Leo +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%55%
Leo · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
60%44%
Leo · 1 mapedge Leo +16%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
33%50%
Leo · 2 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
DefaultLeo ban
50%67%
Leo · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickLeo take Anubis
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanLeo remove Default
DeciderNuke (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
Leo 69%ex-Zero Tenacity 31%
The model gave 69% on Leo — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
Leo 42%ex-Zero Tenacity 58%
The model gave 58% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 54%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2