CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
40%65%
Leo · 26 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 22 maps
NukeLeo pick
86%61%
Leo · 24 mapsedge Leo +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 19 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
53%76%
Leo · 15 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +23%ex-Zero Tenacity · 25 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
38%50%
Leo · 12 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 maps
AnubisLeo ban
36%62%
Leo · 10 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +26%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
38%50%
Leo · 17 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
InfernoLeo ban
50%67%
Leo · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanLeo remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (40% / 65%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Leo 81%ex-Zero Tenacity 19%
The model gave 81% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Leo 24%ex-Zero Tenacity 76%
The model gave 76% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
Leo 26%ex-Zero Tenacity 74%
The model gave 74% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 69%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3