CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#85 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Honvéd#209 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo ban
38%33%
Leo · 33 mapsedge Leo +5%Honvéd · 26 maps
MirageLeo ban
35%43%
Leo · 13 mapsedge Honvéd +8%Honvéd · 24 maps
CacheLeo pick
50%41%
Leo · 20 mapsedge Leo +9%Honvéd · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
46%45%
Leo · 24 mapsnearly even +1%Honvéd · 7 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
88%40%
Leo · 30 mapsedge Leo +48%Honvéd · 1 map
AnubisHonvéd ban
33%30%
Leo · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Honvéd · 6 maps
DefaultHonvéd pick
22%56%
Leo · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +34%Honvéd · 12 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
3. PickLeo take Cache
4. PickHonvéd take Default
5. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
6. BanLeo remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (46% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Leo 54%Honvéd 46%
The model gave 54% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Leo 39%Honvéd 61%
The model gave 61% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 70%
Series resultLeo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2