CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#85 in the world · win 2:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MAYBE#176 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2MAYBE ban
38%33%
Leo · 33 mapsedge Leo +5%MAYBE · 11 maps
AncientMAYBE pick
44%47%
Leo · 23 mapsnearly even -3%MAYBE · 13 maps
NukeMAYBE ban
88%40%
Leo · 30 mapsedge Leo +48%MAYBE · 6 maps
MirageLeo ban
35%48%
Leo · 13 mapsedge MAYBE +13%MAYBE · 21 map
CacheLeo pick
52%38%
Leo · 19 mapsedge Leo +14%MAYBE · 9 maps
AnubisLeo ban
33%50%
Leo · 11 mapsedge MAYBE +17%MAYBE · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
22%43%
Leo · 5 mapsedge MAYBE +21%MAYBE · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanMAYBE remove Nuke
3. PickLeo take Cache
4. PickMAYBE take Ancient
5. BanMAYBE remove Dust2
6. BanLeo remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (22% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Leo 44%MAYBE 56%
The model gave 56% on MAYBE — the map was taken by Leo.
Cacheprediction missed6:13
Leo 66%MAYBE 34%
The model gave 66% on Leo — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Infernoprediction correct34:31
Leo 50%MAYBE 50%
The model gave 50% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 66%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3