CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Noir Verse pick
39%50%
Leo · 24 mapsedge Noir Verse +11%Noir Verse · 18 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
86%46%
Leo · 24 mapsedge Leo +40%Noir Verse · 9 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
43%50%
Leo · 17 mapsedge Noir Verse +7%Noir Verse · 14 maps
CacheLeo pick
47%50%
Leo · 13 mapsnearly even -3%Noir Verse · 14 maps
MirageLeo ban
36%67%
Leo · 10 mapsedge Noir Verse +31%Noir Verse · 17 maps
AnubisLeo ban
38%42%
Leo · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Noir Verse · 15 maps
Defaultpossible decider
25%31%
Leo · 4 mapsedge Noir Verse +6%Noir Verse · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickLeo take Cache
4. PickNoir Verse take Dust2
5. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
6. BanLeo remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (25% / 31%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct2:13
Leo 43%Noir Verse 57%
The model gave 57% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Leo 46%Noir Verse 54%
The model gave 54% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 58%
Series resultNoir Verse 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2