CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#117 in the world · win 2:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PsychoFace pick
56%53%
Leo · 23 mapsnearly even +3%PsychoFace · 11 maps
NukeLeo pick
79%33%
Leo · 15 mapsedge Leo +46%PsychoFace · 5 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
50%40%
Leo · 16 mapsedge Leo +10%PsychoFace · 1 map
MirageLeo ban
45%54%
Leo · 7 mapsedge PsychoFace +9%PsychoFace · 9 maps
AnubisPsychoFace ban
36%60%
Leo · 10 mapsedge PsychoFace +24%PsychoFace · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
43%50%
Leo · 3 mapsedge PsychoFace +7%PsychoFace · 2 maps
InfernoLeo ban
50%38%
Leo · 0 mapsedge Leo +12%PsychoFace · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. PickPsychoFace take Dust2
5. BanPsychoFace remove Anubis
6. BanLeo remove Mirage
DeciderCache (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Leo 49%PsychoFace 51%
The model gave 51% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Leo 89%PsychoFace 11%
The model gave 89% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Anubisprediction missed16:13
Leo 27%PsychoFace 73%
The model gave 73% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 67%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3