CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#117 in the world · win 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Last Resort#106 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2The Last Resort ban
56%46%
Leo · 23 mapsedge Leo +10%The Last Resort · 9 maps
NukeLeo pick
78%56%
Leo · 14 mapsedge Leo +22%The Last Resort · 14 maps
Ancientpossible decider
47%38%
Leo · 15 mapsedge Leo +9%The Last Resort · 9 maps
AnubisLeo ban
36%50%
Leo · 10 mapsedge The Last Resort +14%The Last Resort · 4 maps
CacheThe Last Resort pick
43%56%
Leo · 3 mapsedge The Last Resort +13%The Last Resort · 5 maps
MirageThe Last Resort ban
45%40%
Leo · 7 mapsedge Leo +5%The Last Resort · 1 map
InfernoLeo ban
50%56%
Leo · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +6%The Last Resort · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. PickThe Last Resort take Cache
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Dust2
6. BanLeo remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (47% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
Leo 76%The Last Resort 24%
The model gave 76% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
Leo 56%The Last Resort 44%
The model gave 56% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 54%
Series resultLeo 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2