CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fortress#240 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFortress ban
36%25%
LFO 10 · 10 mapsedge LFO 10 +11%Fortress · 8 maps
CacheLFO 10 pick
56%33%
LFO 10 · 5 mapsedge LFO 10 +23%Fortress · 8 maps
AncientFortress pick
44%30%
LFO 10 · 5 mapsedge LFO 10 +14%Fortress · 6 maps
AnubisLFO 10 ban
50%30%
LFO 10 · 2 mapsedge LFO 10 +20%Fortress · 6 maps
Dust2LFO 10 ban
30%40%
LFO 10 · 6 mapsedge Fortress +10%Fortress · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
40%22%
LFO 10 · 1 mapedge LFO 10 +18%Fortress · 5 maps
NukeFortress ban
50%29%
LFO 10 · 2 mapsedge LFO 10 +21%Fortress · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLFO 10 remove Dust2
2. BanFortress remove Mirage
3. PickLFO 10 take Cache
4. PickFortress take Ancient
5. BanFortress remove Nuke
6. BanLFO 10 remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (40% / 22%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
LFO 10 74%Fortress 26%
The model gave 74% on LFO 10 — the map was taken by LFO 10.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
LFO 10 67%Fortress 33%
The model gave 67% on LFO 10 — the map was taken by LFO 10.
Model check result
Model favoriteLFO 10 · 58%
Series resultLFO 10 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2