ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match predictionL8LFO 8#200 in the world
series probability
37%63%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Ground Zero#77 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2LFO 8 pick
50%44%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsedge LFO 8 +6%Ground Zero · 14 maps
NukeLFO 8 ban
50%79%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsedge Ground Zero +29%Ground Zero · 10 maps
AnubisGround Zero pick
50%50%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Ground Zero · 8 maps
MirageGround Zero ban
50%55%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsedge Ground Zero +5%Ground Zero · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%57%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsedge Ground Zero +7%Ground Zero · 3 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
50%50%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Ground Zero · 2 maps
DefaultLFO 8 ban
50%60%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Ground Zero · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLFO 8 remove Nuke
2. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
3. PickLFO 8 take Dust2
4. PickGround Zero take Anubis
5. BanGround Zero remove Mirage
6. BanLFO 8 remove Default
DeciderInferno (50% / 57%)