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CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#216 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
benched gods#196 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLilmix ban
36%43%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge benched gods +7%benched gods · 17 maps
Miragebenched gods ban
30%33%
Lilmix · 6 mapsnearly even -3%benched gods · 17 maps
CacheLilmix ban
29%59%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge benched gods +30%benched gods · 18 maps
Anubisbenched gods pick
43%50%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge benched gods +7%benched gods · 16 maps
DefaultLilmix pick
50%88%
Lilmix · 0 mapsedge benched gods +38%benched gods · 13 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
33%40%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge benched gods +7%benched gods · 11 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
Lilmix · 2 mapsnearly even +0%benched gods · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Cache
2. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
3. PickLilmix take Default
4. Pickbenched gods take Anubis
5. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
6. BanLilmix remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct10:13
Lilmix 40%benched gods 60%
The model gave 60% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
Lilmix 46%benched gods 54%
The model gave 54% on benched gods — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
Lilmix 46%benched gods 54%
The model gave 54% on benched gods — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Model check result
Model favoritebenched gods · 55%
Series resultLilmix 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3