CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NEW VISION#204 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2NEW VISION ban
25%56%
Lilmix · 12 mapsedge NEW VISION +31%NEW VISION · 5 maps
AncientNEW VISION pick
38%40%
Lilmix · 9 mapsnearly even -2%NEW VISION · 6 maps
MirageLilmix ban
35%40%
Lilmix · 13 mapsedge NEW VISION +5%NEW VISION · 1 map
InfernoLilmix pick
80%43%
Lilmix · 6 mapsedge Lilmix +37%NEW VISION · 3 maps
OverpassNEW VISION ban
55%50%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Lilmix +5%NEW VISION · 0 maps
AnubisLilmix ban
50%38%
Lilmix · 0 mapsedge Lilmix +12%NEW VISION · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%60%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge NEW VISION +17%NEW VISION · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Anubis
2. BanNEW VISION remove Overpass
3. PickLilmix take Inferno
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
6. BanLilmix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (43% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
Lilmix 60%NEW VISION 40%
The model gave 60% on Lilmix — the map was taken by NEW VISION.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Lilmix 86%NEW VISION 14%
The model gave 86% on Lilmix — the map was taken by NEW VISION.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilmix · 54%
Series resultNEW VISION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2