CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · win 2:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNEW VISION pick
38%36%
Lilmix · 12 mapsnearly even +2%NEW VISION · 7 maps
Dust2NEW VISION ban
24%50%
Lilmix · 13 mapsedge NEW VISION +26%NEW VISION · 6 maps
MirageLilmix ban
32%43%
Lilmix · 15 mapsedge NEW VISION +11%NEW VISION · 3 maps
InfernoLilmix pick
69%50%
Lilmix · 9 mapsedge Lilmix +19%NEW VISION · 4 maps
AnubisLilmix ban
40%36%
Lilmix · 1 mapnearly even +4%NEW VISION · 7 maps
OverpassNEW VISION ban
55%50%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Lilmix +5%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%60%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge NEW VISION +17%NEW VISION · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Anubis
2. BanNEW VISION remove Overpass
3. PickLilmix take Inferno
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
6. BanLilmix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (43% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:3
Lilmix 72%NEW VISION 28%
The model gave 72% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
Lilmix 48%NEW VISION 52%
The model gave 52% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEW VISION · 63%
Series resultLilmix 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2