Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ReThink#237 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
33%50%
Lilmix · 14 mapsedge ReThink +17%ReThink · 4 maps
Dust2Lilmix ban
25%44%
Lilmix · 12 mapsedge ReThink +19%ReThink · 5 maps
AncientReThink pick
36%50%
Lilmix · 10 mapsedge ReThink +14%ReThink · 4 maps
OverpassLilmix pick
55%67%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge ReThink +12%ReThink · 2 maps
InfernoReThink ban
73%50%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Lilmix +23%ReThink · 0 maps
AnubisLilmix ban
40%43%
Lilmix · 1 mapnearly even -3%ReThink · 3 maps
DefaultReThink ban
43%50%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge ReThink +7%ReThink · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Anubis
2. BanReThink remove Inferno
3. PickLilmix take Overpass
4. PickReThink take Ancient
5. BanReThink remove Default
6. BanLilmix remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct3:13
Lilmix 33%ReThink 67%
The model gave 67% on ReThink — the map was taken by ReThink.
Infernoprediction correct19:17
Lilmix 75%ReThink 25%
The model gave 75% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
Lilmix 33%ReThink 67%
The model gave 67% on ReThink — the map was taken by ReThink.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilmix · 51%
Series resultReThink 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3