iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NRG#30 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheNRG pick
58%71%
Liquid · 8 mapsedge NRG +13%NRG · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
60%73%
Liquid · 11 mapsedge NRG +13%NRG · 7 maps
InfernoLiquid pick
75%46%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge Liquid +29%NRG · 9 maps
MirageNRG ban
67%55%
Liquid · 5 mapsedge Liquid +12%NRG · 7 maps
Dust2Liquid ban
40%78%
Liquid · 6 mapsedge NRG +38%NRG · 5 maps
AnubisNRG ban
64%50%
Liquid · 10 mapsedge Liquid +14%NRG · 0 maps
AncientLiquid ban
40%55%
Liquid · 1 mapedge NRG +15%NRG · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Ancient
2. BanNRG remove Anubis
3. PickLiquid take Inferno
4. PickNRG take Cache
5. BanNRG remove Mirage
6. BanLiquid remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (60% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Liquid 14%NRG 86%
The model gave 86% on NRG — the map was taken by Liquid.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Liquid 65%NRG 35%
The model gave 65% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 53%
Series resultLiquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2