BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit#1 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Liquid ban
25%69%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge Spirit +44%Spirit · 12 maps
MirageSpirit pick
43%77%
Liquid · 3 mapsedge Spirit +34%Spirit · 9 maps
AncientLiquid ban
50%78%
Liquid · 2 mapsedge Spirit +28%Spirit · 5 maps
AnubisLiquid pick
57%63%
Liquid · 3 mapsedge Spirit +6%Spirit · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
63%67%
Liquid · 4 mapsnearly even -4%Spirit · 2 maps
InfernoSpirit ban
57%50%
Liquid · 3 mapsedge Liquid +7%Spirit · 0 maps
OverpassSpirit ban
50%29%
Liquid · 0 mapsedge Liquid +21%Spirit · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Dust2
2. BanSpirit remove Inferno
3. PickLiquid take Anubis
4. PickSpirit take Mirage
5. BanSpirit remove Overpass
6. BanLiquid remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (63% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Liquid 12%Spirit 88%
The model gave 88% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
Liquid 47%Spirit 53%
The model gave 53% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit · 83%
Series resultSpirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2