BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vitality#2 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
25%57%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge Vitality +32%Vitality · 10 maps
MirageLiquid ban
33%73%
Liquid · 2 mapsedge Vitality +40%Vitality · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%70%
Liquid · 3 mapsedge Vitality +13%Vitality · 6 maps
InfernoLiquid pick
57%63%
Liquid · 3 mapsedge Vitality +6%Vitality · 4 maps
AnubisVitality ban
40%33%
Liquid · 1 mapedge Liquid +7%Vitality · 5 maps
OverpassLiquid ban
50%67%
Liquid · 0 mapsedge Vitality +17%Vitality · 5 maps
AncientVitality ban
50%50%
Liquid · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Vitality · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Overpass
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickLiquid take Inferno
4. PickVitality take Dust2
5. BanVitality remove Anubis
6. BanLiquid remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (57% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
Liquid 60%Vitality 40%
The model gave 60% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
Liquid 34%Vitality 66%
The model gave 66% on Vitality — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 90%
Series resultLiquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2