CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
los kogutos#123 in the world · win 2:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BERG#192 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragelos kogutos ban
43%67%
los kogutos · 10 mapsedge BERG +24%BERG · 2 maps
Nukelos kogutos pick
77%57%
los kogutos · 9 mapsedge los kogutos +20%BERG · 3 maps
AncientBERG ban
50%40%
los kogutos · 10 mapsedge los kogutos +10%BERG · 1 map
Dust2los kogutos ban
40%50%
los kogutos · 6 mapsedge BERG +10%BERG · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%43%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge los kogutos +7%BERG · 3 maps
CacheBERG pick
38%50%
los kogutos · 4 mapsedge BERG +12%BERG · 0 maps
DefaultBERG ban
40%50%
los kogutos · 1 mapedge BERG +10%BERG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banlos kogutos remove Dust2
2. BanBERG remove Ancient
3. Picklos kogutos take Nuke
4. PickBERG take Cache
5. BanBERG remove Default
6. Banlos kogutos remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:2
los kogutos 74%BERG 26%
The model gave 74% on los kogutos — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Ancientprediction missed13:16
los kogutos 57%BERG 43%
The model gave 57% on los kogutos — the map was taken by BERG.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
los kogutos 27%BERG 73%
The model gave 73% on BERG — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Model check result
Model favoriteBERG · 53%
Series resultlos kogutos 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3