CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
los kogutos#123 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEntropy ban
43%46%
los kogutos · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Entropy · 22 maps
Ancientlos kogutos pick
67%47%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge los kogutos +20%Entropy · 13 maps
Anubislos kogutos ban
40%53%
los kogutos · 1 mapedge Entropy +13%Entropy · 11 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
29%31%
los kogutos · 3 mapsnearly even -2%Entropy · 9 maps
CacheEntropy pick
40%58%
los kogutos · 1 mapedge Entropy +18%Entropy · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%50%
los kogutos · 1 mapedge Entropy +10%Entropy · 4 maps
Infernolos kogutos ban
50%44%
los kogutos · 0 mapsedge los kogutos +6%Entropy · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banlos kogutos remove Inferno
2. BanEntropy remove Dust2
3. Picklos kogutos take Ancient
4. PickEntropy take Cache
5. BanEntropy remove Mirage
6. Banlos kogutos remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
los kogutos 30%Entropy 70%
The model gave 70% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
los kogutos 72%Entropy 28%
The model gave 72% on los kogutos — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 52%
Series resultEntropy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2