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CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
los kogutos#123 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernolos kogutos ban
50%69%
los kogutos · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +19%SAW Youngsters · 9 maps
MirageSAW Youngsters ban
50%44%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge los kogutos +6%SAW Youngsters · 5 maps
Ancientlos kogutos pick
60%63%
los kogutos · 1 mapnearly even -3%SAW Youngsters · 4 maps
Dust2SAW Youngsters pick
33%57%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +24%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
50%57%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
Anubislos kogutos ban
40%50%
los kogutos · 1 mapedge SAW Youngsters +10%SAW Youngsters · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%40%
los kogutos · 1 mapnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banlos kogutos remove Inferno
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
3. Picklos kogutos take Ancient
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Dust2
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Mirage
6. Banlos kogutos remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
los kogutos 25%SAW Youngsters 75%
The model gave 75% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
los kogutos 50%SAW Youngsters 50%
The model gave 50% on los kogutos — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
los kogutos 56%SAW Youngsters 44%
The model gave 56% on los kogutos — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 64%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3