CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:1series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoLP pick
73%58%
LP · 11 mapsedge LP +15%BESTIA Academy · 8 maps
AncientBESTIA Academy pick
53%45%
LP · 11 mapsedge LP +8%BESTIA Academy · 7 maps
Dust2BESTIA Academy ban
63%30%
LP · 12 mapsedge LP +33%BESTIA Academy · 6 maps
MirageLP ban
54%63%
LP · 9 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +9%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
NukeLP ban
67%57%
LP · 8 mapsedge LP +10%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
OverpassBESTIA Academy ban
44%40%
LP · 5 mapsnearly even +4%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
67%57%
LP · 2 mapsedge LP +10%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Overpass
3. PickLP take Inferno
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Ancient
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Dust2
6. BanLP remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (67% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:2
LP 61%BESTIA Academy 39%
The model gave 61% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
LP 78%BESTIA Academy 22%
The model gave 78% on LP — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
LP 66%BESTIA Academy 34%
The model gave 66% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 79%
Series resultLP 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3