StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLP pick
63%52%
LP · 15 mapsedge LP +11%Bounty Hunters · 17 maps
Dust2possible decider
59%55%
LP · 13 mapsnearly even +4%Bounty Hunters · 18 maps
MirageLP ban
47%59%
LP · 11 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%Bounty Hunters · 18 maps
NukeBounty Hunters pick
67%71%
LP · 11 mapsnearly even -4%Bounty Hunters · 17 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
64%50%
LP · 18 mapsedge LP +14%Bounty Hunters · 0 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
44%43%
LP · 5 mapsnearly even +1%Bounty Hunters · 3 maps
AnubisLP ban
50%45%
LP · 0 mapsedge LP +5%Bounty Hunters · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Anubis
2. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
3. PickLP take Ancient
4. PickBounty Hunters take Nuke
5. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
6. BanLP remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (59% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
LP 42%Bounty Hunters 58%
The model gave 58% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
LP 64%Bounty Hunters 36%
The model gave 64% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
LP 50%Bounty Hunters 50%
The model gave 50% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 57%
Series resultLP 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3