Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
61%53%
LP · 14 mapsedge LP +8%Fake do Biru · 15 maps
InfernoLP pick
65%50%
LP · 16 mapsedge LP +15%Fake do Biru · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
64%67%
LP · 10 mapsnearly even -3%Fake do Biru · 8 maps
MirageFake do Biru ban
50%33%
LP · 10 mapsedge LP +17%Fake do Biru · 5 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
59%50%
LP · 13 mapsedge LP +9%Fake do Biru · 0 maps
OverpassLP ban
44%50%
LP · 5 mapsedge Fake do Biru +6%Fake do Biru · 2 maps
AnubisLP ban
50%44%
LP · 0 mapsedge LP +6%Fake do Biru · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Anubis
2. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
3. PickLP take Inferno
4. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
5. BanFake do Biru remove Mirage
6. BanLP remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (64% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed16:13
LP 44%Fake do Biru 56%
The model gave 56% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by LP.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
LP 68%Fake do Biru 32%
The model gave 68% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 78%
Series resultLP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2