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CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VEXA#257 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
54%56%
LP · 9 mapsnearly even -2%VEXA · 5 maps
AncientVEXA pick
56%57%
LP · 5 mapsnearly even -1%VEXA · 3 maps
InfernoLP pick
67%33%
LP · 5 mapsedge LP +34%VEXA · 2 maps
AnubisLP ban
50%67%
LP · 0 mapsedge VEXA +17%VEXA · 5 maps
MirageLP ban
67%43%
LP · 2 mapsedge LP +24%VEXA · 3 maps
NukeVEXA ban
56%50%
LP · 5 mapsedge LP +6%VEXA · 0 maps
OverpassVEXA ban
50%50%
LP · 2 mapsnearly even +0%VEXA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Anubis
2. BanVEXA remove Nuke
3. PickLP take Inferno
4. PickVEXA take Ancient
5. BanVEXA remove Overpass
6. BanLP remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (54% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
LP 70%VEXA 30%
The model gave 70% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
LP 82%VEXA 18%
The model gave 82% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 72%
Series resultLP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2