CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
LPH#150 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
mellren#94 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2mellren ban
63%50%
LPH · 4 mapsedge LPH +13%mellren · 0 maps
Ancientmellren pick
67%40%
LPH · 2 mapsedge LPH +27%mellren · 1 map
InfernoLPH ban
60%60%
LPH · 1 mapnearly even +0%mellren · 1 map
Nukemellren ban
50%50%
LPH · 2 mapsnearly even +0%mellren · 0 maps
AnubisLPH pick
60%50%
LPH · 1 mapedge LPH +10%mellren · 0 maps
MirageLPH ban
50%60%
LPH · 0 mapsedge mellren +10%mellren · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLPH remove Mirage
2. Banmellren remove Nuke
3. PickLPH take Anubis
4. Pickmellren take Ancient
5. Banmellren remove Dust2
6. BanLPH remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
LPH 60%mellren 40%
The model gave 60% on LPH — the map was taken by LPH.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
LPH 53%mellren 47%
The model gave 53% on LPH — the map was taken by LPH.
Model check result
Model favoriteLPH · 50%
Series resultLPH 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2