CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
LPH#150 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WBT#108 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
64%54%
LPH · 7 mapsedge LPH +10%WBT · 9 maps
AncientLPH ban
55%55%
LPH · 7 mapsnearly even +0%WBT · 7 maps
AnubisWBT pick
57%58%
LPH · 3 mapsnearly even -1%WBT · 8 maps
MirageLPH ban
50%64%
LPH · 0 mapsedge WBT +14%WBT · 7 maps
NukeLPH pick
56%50%
LPH · 5 mapsedge LPH +6%WBT · 2 maps
InfernoWBT ban
67%50%
LPH · 5 mapsedge LPH +17%WBT · 0 maps
CacheWBT ban
50%50%
LPH · 0 mapsnearly even +0%WBT · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLPH remove Mirage
2. BanWBT remove Inferno
3. PickLPH take Nuke
4. PickWBT take Anubis
5. BanWBT remove Cache
6. BanLPH remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (64% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
LPH 58%WBT 42%
The model gave 58% on LPH — the map was taken by WBT.
Anubisprediction correct7:13
LPH 46%WBT 54%
The model gave 54% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT · 51%
Series resultWBT 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2