Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Luminosity#30 in the world · loss 11:13series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 11:13
B8#15 in the world · win 13:11The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLuminosity ban
33%65%
Luminosity · 2 mapsedge B8 +32%B8 · 13 maps
Dust2possible decider
44%64%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge B8 +20%B8 · 10 maps
MirageB8 ban
57%43%
Luminosity · 3 mapsedge Luminosity +14%B8 · 10 maps
InfernoLuminosity ban
33%56%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge B8 +23%B8 · 5 maps
NukeB8 ban
56%67%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge B8 +11%B8 · 2 maps
CacheLuminosity ban
40%63%
Luminosity · 1 mapedge B8 +23%B8 · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLuminosity remove Cache
2. BanB8 remove Nuke
3. BanLuminosity remove Inferno
4. BanB8 remove Mirage
5. BanLuminosity remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (44% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Luminosity 31%B8 69%
The model gave 69% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 68%
Series resultB8 11:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1