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GGMEDIA Challenger Series 1: BLAST Premier Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ground Zero#139 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lynn Vision pick
57%50%
Lynn Vision · 10 mapsedge Lynn Vision +7%Ground Zero · 6 maps
NukeGround Zero pick
57%62%
Lynn Vision · 3 mapsedge Ground Zero +5%Ground Zero · 9 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%50%
Lynn Vision · 6 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Ground Zero · 4 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
50%54%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Ground Zero · 9 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
42%50%
Lynn Vision · 8 mapsedge Ground Zero +8%Ground Zero · 0 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
43%38%
Lynn Vision · 3 mapsedge Lynn Vision +5%Ground Zero · 4 maps
OverpassGround Zero ban
67%50%
Lynn Vision · 2 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Ground Zero · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
2. BanGround Zero remove Overpass
3. PickLynn Vision take Dust2
4. PickGround Zero take Nuke
5. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
6. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:4
Lynn Vision 42%Ground Zero 58%
The model gave 58% on Ground Zero — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Lynn Vision 60%Ground Zero 40%
The model gave 60% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteLynn Vision · 78%
Series resultLynn Vision 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2