BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FURIA#4 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoM80 pick
54%50%
M80 · 9 mapsnearly even +4%FURIA · 4 maps
MirageFURIA pick
60%64%
M80 · 6 mapsnearly even -4%FURIA · 7 maps
Dust2M80 ban
38%55%
M80 · 4 mapsedge FURIA +17%FURIA · 7 maps
AncientFURIA ban
50%63%
M80 · 6 mapsedge FURIA +13%FURIA · 4 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%60%
M80 · 0 mapsedge FURIA +10%FURIA · 6 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
50%29%
M80 · 2 mapsedge M80 +21%FURIA · 3 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%50%
M80 · 2 mapsedge M80 +17%FURIA · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Nuke
2. BanFURIA remove Anubis
3. PickM80 take Inferno
4. PickFURIA take Mirage
5. BanFURIA remove Ancient
6. BanM80 remove Dust2
DeciderCache (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:16
M80 69%FURIA 31%
The model gave 69% on M80 — the map was taken by FURIA.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
M80 31%FURIA 69%
The model gave 69% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 89%
Series resultFURIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2