Circuit X BLAST Open Porto 2026 North America Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoM80 pick
46%50%
M80 · 9 mapsnearly even -4%WINNERS · 0 maps
MirageWINNERS ban
58%50%
M80 · 8 mapsedge M80 +8%WINNERS · 0 maps
AncientM80 ban
36%50%
M80 · 7 mapsedge WINNERS +14%WINNERS · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%50%
M80 · 5 mapsedge M80 +6%WINNERS · 0 maps
AnubisM80 ban
50%50%
M80 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%WINNERS · 0 maps
DefaultWINNERS ban
67%50%
M80 · 2 mapsedge M80 +17%WINNERS · 0 maps
OverpassWINNERS pick
40%50%
M80 · 1 mapedge WINNERS +10%WINNERS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Ancient
2. BanWINNERS remove Default
3. PickM80 take Inferno
4. PickWINNERS take Overpass
5. BanWINNERS remove Mirage
6. BanM80 remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:6
M80 47%WINNERS 53%
The model gave 53% on WINNERS — the map was taken by M80.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
M80 49%WINNERS 51%
The model gave 51% on WINNERS — the map was taken by M80.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 89%
Series resultM80 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2