ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
madlikewizards#336 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Mindfreak#213 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMindfreak pick
60%42%
madlikewizards · 1 mapedge madlikewizards +18%Mindfreak · 15 maps
Nukemadlikewizards ban
50%43%
madlikewizards · 2 mapsedge madlikewizards +7%Mindfreak · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
43%67%
madlikewizards · 3 mapsedge Mindfreak +24%Mindfreak · 8 maps
Dust2madlikewizards pick
38%29%
madlikewizards · 4 mapsedge madlikewizards +9%Mindfreak · 3 maps
CacheMindfreak ban
63%33%
madlikewizards · 4 mapsedge madlikewizards +30%Mindfreak · 2 maps
AnubisMindfreak ban
50%33%
madlikewizards · 0 mapsedge madlikewizards +17%Mindfreak · 5 maps
Ancientmadlikewizards ban
50%38%
madlikewizards · 0 mapsedge madlikewizards +12%Mindfreak · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmadlikewizards remove Ancient
2. BanMindfreak remove Cache
3. Pickmadlikewizards take Dust2
4. PickMindfreak take Inferno
5. BanMindfreak remove Anubis
6. Banmadlikewizards remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (43% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
madlikewizards 60%Mindfreak 40%
The model gave 60% on madlikewizards — the map was taken by Mindfreak.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
madlikewizards 30%Mindfreak 70%
The model gave 70% on Mindfreak — the map was taken by madlikewizards.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
madlikewizards 77%Mindfreak 23%
The model gave 77% on madlikewizards — the map was taken by Mindfreak.
Model check result
Model favoriteMindfreak · 60%
Series resultMindfreak 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3