Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
magic#18 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
3DMAX#20 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientmagic pick
62%50%
magic · 9 mapsedge magic +12%3DMAX · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
63%55%
magic · 4 mapsedge magic +8%3DMAX · 7 maps
Inferno3DMAX ban
50%31%
magic · 2 mapsedge magic +19%3DMAX · 9 maps
Dust23DMAX pick
38%67%
magic · 4 mapsedge 3DMAX +29%3DMAX · 5 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
50%50%
magic · 8 mapsnearly even +0%3DMAX · 0 maps
Anubismagic ban
57%38%
magic · 3 mapsedge magic +19%3DMAX · 4 maps
Nukemagic ban
50%25%
magic · 0 mapsedge magic +25%3DMAX · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmagic remove Nuke
2. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
3. Pickmagic take Ancient
4. Pick3DMAX take Dust2
5. Ban3DMAX remove Inferno
6. Banmagic remove Anubis
DeciderCache (63% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
magic 21%3DMAX 79%
The model gave 79% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by magic.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
magic 64%3DMAX 36%
The model gave 64% on magic — the map was taken by magic.
Model check result
Model favorite3DMAX · 51%
Series resultmagic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2