CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
eternal premium#208 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
50%36%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge Mai Tai +14%eternal premium · 7 maps
AncientMai Tai ban
43%60%
Mai Tai · 3 mapsedge eternal premium +17%eternal premium · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
60%50%
Mai Tai · 1 mapedge Mai Tai +10%eternal premium · 8 maps
Anubiseternal premium ban
50%33%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +17%eternal premium · 5 maps
Defaulteternal premium pick
33%50%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge eternal premium +17%eternal premium · 0 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
50%50%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsnearly even +0%eternal premium · 4 maps
Cacheeternal premium ban
40%50%
Mai Tai · 1 mapedge eternal premium +10%eternal premium · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
2. Baneternal premium remove Anubis
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. Picketernal premium take Default
5. Baneternal premium remove Cache
6. BanMai Tai remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Mai Tai 33%eternal premium 67%
The model gave 67% on eternal premium — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Mirageprediction missed13:16
Mai Tai 61%eternal premium 39%
The model gave 61% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by eternal premium.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Mai Tai 50%eternal premium 50%
The model gave 50% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 56%
Series resultMai Tai 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3