CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
39%50%
Mai Tai · 14 mapsedge Honvéd +11%Honvéd · 22 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
43%57%
Mai Tai · 3 mapsedge Honvéd +14%Honvéd · 26 maps
Ancientpossible decider
42%50%
Mai Tai · 8 mapsedge Honvéd +8%Honvéd · 12 maps
DefaultHonvéd pick
38%67%
Mai Tai · 12 mapsedge Honvéd +29%Honvéd · 5 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
33%50%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +17%Honvéd · 4 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
38%56%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge Honvéd +18%Honvéd · 5 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
50%57%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Honvéd · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
2. BanHonvéd remove Cache
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickHonvéd take Default
5. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
6. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (42% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Mai Tai 23%Honvéd 77%
The model gave 77% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 61%
Series resultHonvéd 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1